Increase in GERD fails to keep pace with Canada’s robust economic growth

Guest Contributor
December 22, 2005

Increased funding for the higher education sector is helping to boost Canada’s gross expenditures on R&D (GERD) to a projected $26.3 billion in 2005, up 4% increase from 2004, and 5.3% from 2003. Canada’s impressive R&D performance after a period of stagnation in 2001 and 2002 does not translate into a higher GERD/GDP ratio, however, due to robust economic growth that outstripped greater R&D expenditures. Canada’s GERD/GDP in 2004 was 1.96, down slightly from 1.97 in 2003 and 2.03 in 2002, according to the latest Statistics Canada data.

The healthy R&D increases were largely limited to the university sector, which has doubled over the past six years. The higher education sector accounted for $896 million or 90% of the increase in the 2005 GERD. As an R&D performer, the sector accounts for $9.84 billion in expenditures, while providing $4.33 billion in funding.

R&D performance in the business sector is up marginally in 2005, gaining $218 million or 1.6% to $13.85 billion. But it appears to be on the road to recovery, registering its second annual increase following a slight decline in 2003. Business R&D accounts for 52.7% of all R&D performed in 2005. The vast majority of business R&D — $12.35 billion or 89.3% — is funded internally.

The situation is somewhat gloomier for R&D performance by the federal government, which is projected to drop 5.3% in 2005 to $2.14 billion. During the same period that saw a doubling of university R&D (1999-2005), federal R&D spending has increased just 15%.

The federal government’s funding of R&D shows a modest increase in 2005 of 2.5% to $5.02 billion.

Foreign sources also appear to be rebounding as a funder of Canadian-based R&D. In 2005, foreign sources are projected to reach $2.15 billion, up from $2.1 billion the year before but well off the high mark of $3.6 billion in 2000.

NON-PROFIT GROUPS BOOST FUNDING

Private non-profit organizations are becoming a small but increasingly important source of R&D funding. In 2005, these organizations provided $755 million or 2.89% of the annual total, up 9.7% from 2004. That compares to $233 million or 2.27% of the total in 1990.

Ontario and Quebec continue to be the preferred location for R&D in all sectors. Together, the two largest provinces accounted for 73.2% of all R&D expenditures in 2003 (the latest year for which a geographical breakdown is available).

Ontario is home to $10.7 billion in R&D for a 44.6% share, followed by Quebec with $6.86 billion or 28.6%, the highest percentage in the past 14 years. Of the remaining provinces, British Columbia and Alberta continue to increase their share of the Canadian total. In 2003, BC, accounted for $1.97 billion or 8.2% in Canadian R&D, followed by Alberta with $1.82 billion and a 7.6% share.

The national capital region (NCR) — home to many federal labs — ranks fifth with $999 million or 4.2% of total R&D. Although the amount is the second highest in the past 14 years, the NCR’s overall share has declined from a high of 6.9% in 1990, reflecting the stagnant support for federal R&D over the same period.

Ranking sixth and seventh are Manitoba and Saskatchewan, which respectively account for $443 million (1.8%) and $391 million (1.6%), The latter represents a 10% decline from 2002, when Saskatchewan-based R&D expenditures spiked upwards to $434 million.

Ontario and Quebec capture an even greater share of business R&D. In 2003, Ontario was home to $7.1 billion in business R&D for 52.8% of the total. Quebec followed with $4.1 billion or 30.7% of the total. BC continues to holds it own with $1.1 billion (8%). Alberta’s share is $779 million but its share of the total (5.8%) has dropped from an historic high of 6.9% in 1990.

R$

GERD/GDP

($ millions)
Year  GERD   GDP  GERD
/GDP
  
1990  10,260  679,921  1.51  
1991  10,770  685,367  1.57  
1992  11,338  700,480  1.62  
1993  12,184  727,184  1.68  
1994  13,341  770,873  1.73  
1995  13,754  810,426  1.70  
1996  13,816  836,864  1.65  
1997  14,634  882,733  1.66  
1998  16,088  914,973  1.76  
1999  17,637  982,441  1.80  
2000  20,635  1,076,577  1.92  
2001  23,206  1,108,048  2.09  
2002  23,382  1,154,204  2.03  
2003  23,992  1,216,191  1.97  
2004  25,259  1,290,185  1.96  
2005  26,269  

Source: Statistics Canada 88-001-XIE

GERD BY PERFORMING AND FUNDING SECTORS

($ millions)
Year  Feds  Prov  Business  Higher Ed  Non-Profit  Foreign  Total
Performing Sector
1996  1,792  242  7,996  3,697  89    13,816
1997  1,720  214  8,739  3,879  82    14,634
1998  1,743  216  9,682  4,370  77    16,088
1999  1,859  233  10,400  5,082  63    17,637
2000  2,080  255  12,450  5,793  57    20,635
2001  2,103  307  14,320  6,424  52    23,206
2002  2,190  315  13,367  7,455  55    23,382
2003  2,083  318  13,391  8,132  68    23,992
2004  2,257  357  13,630  8,945  70    25,259
2005  2,138  367  13,848  9,841  74    26,268
Funding Sector
1996  2,814  629  6,396  1,905  358  1,714  13,816
1997  2,813  658  7,031  1,971  367  1,794  14,634
1998  2,831  639  7,354  2,339  372  2,553  16,088
1999  3,216  770  7,917  2,649  380  2,705  17,637
2000  3,560  879  9,258  2,892  445  3,601  20,635
2001  4,097  1,045  11,662  2,928  533  2,941  23,206
2002  4,215  1,183  11,988  3,462  624  1,910  23,382
2003  4,495  1,392  11,838  3,578  627  2,062  23,992
2004  4,896  1,532  12,103  3,936  688  2,104  25,259
2005  5,017  1,657  12,364  4,330  755  2,145  26,268
Source: Statistics Canada 88-001-XIE



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